SourcesFilm 16

The Window

On YouTube as “So Trump Lost. The Next 58 Days Matter More Than the Next 2 Years”

Watch the film on YouTube

Corrections and updates

  1. In What’s Behind the Door the film says Obama made six trades in eight years. We could not find a source for that figure. AP reports he “was in broadly diversified mutual funds” (20 May 2026): adn.com

Cold open

  1. Ballotpedia

    Democrats win both chambers

    “Democrats secured a 54-44 majority, gaining seven seats” in the Senate, with two races uncalled

  2. KUT

    James Talarico’s win “marks the first time a Democrat has won a U.S. Senate election in Texas since 1988”

  3. Trump’s Truth (archive of Truth Social)

    Donald Trump’s post of a red cap reading VETO, no caption (3 Nov 2026, 11:40 pm EST)

  4. National Archives

    Twentieth Amendment

    Congress assembles “at noon on the 3d day of January, unless they shall by law appoint a different day” (ratified 1933)

  5. The Week

    “Aides are reportedly buying legal insurance, while some are looking at pre-emptive pardons”

  6. CNN

    “some officials have hired their own attorneys or considered purchasing legal insurance”

  7. Democracy Now (reporting Bloomberg)

    “Trump or his money managers made nearly 28,700 trades in the 17 months between his second inauguration and the end of June”

  8. Truthout

    Over the same period “House lawmakers reported making 19,400 stock trades, while senators reported 2,900, for a total of 22,300 transactions”

  9. ABC News

    “Joe Biden made a total of 13 stock trades during his entire tenure as president.”

January 3rd

  1. Congressional Research Service

    Conviction in an impeachment trial takes two-thirds of senators present

    “assuming 100 Senators present, the support of 67” (updated 15 Feb 2024)

  2. MPR News

    Seven Republicans voted to convict Trump at his second impeachment trial, 57-43

  3. John Thune on X

    “Thankfully, we still have President Trump in the White House, and we’ll work with him to stop the worst impulses of Democrat extremism.” (4 Nov 2026, 12:26 am ET)

What’s Behind the Door

  1. PolitiFact (quoting Forbes)

    Trump “is an estimated $2.7 billion richer than when he won the 2024 election”

  2. Letter from Sen. Elizabeth Warren and Rep. Robert Garcia to President Trump

    “approximately 50 trades every day markets were open during the first quarter of 2026”

  3. Office of Government Ethics, Trump’s Form 278-T

    Purchases of Nvidia on 1/6/2026 ($500,001 - $1,000,000), AMD on 1/6/2026 ($50,001 - $100,000) and Axon on 2/10/2026 ($1,000,001 - $5,000,000) (signed 8 May 2026)

  4. The Globe and Mail (Quiver Quantitative, relaying Warren and Garcia)

    “On January 6, 2026, you bought stock in two AI chip design companies

    Up to $100,000 in AMD stock and up to $1 million in NVIDIA, which occurred one week before the administration loosened export controls on certain chips sold to China.”

  5. The Daily Beast

    A 17-page letter

    The Axon trade came “two weeks before ICE published plans to procure up to $220 million in Tasers”

  6. SAM.gov

    ICE sources sought notice 70CMSW26I00000054 for “Conductive Energy Weapons (CEW)”, “estimated value of $ 220M”; “No award will be made from this Sources Sought Notice”

  7. Letter from Warren and Garcia, page 13

    “Please provide a list of all third-party institutions and managers that direct your trades.”; “Did you direct the January 6, 2026 AMD and Nvidia purchases? a. If you did not direct them, when did you become aware of them?”

  8. The Daily Beast

    Trump

    “They invest my money, and I don’t talk to them”; Eric Trump: “fully discretionary accounts managed by independent third-party financial institutions”

  9. CNBC, transcript of Trump’s interview with Joe Kernen

    “I don’t do anything having to do with my business. My kids run it.” (interview 30 Jun 2026, transcript 2 Jul 2026)

  10. House Oversight Democrats

    Statement of incoming chairman Robert Garcia after Democrats secured the House majority: “Lawyer up.”

  11. CNN

    1789 Capital “grew from less than a billion dollars-worth of assets under management last year to about $3.5 billion now, its leaders say”; ten of its companies won $1.6 billion in federal contracts and grants “in the first 500 days”

  12. House Judiciary Democrats, Jamie Raskin’s letter to Kushner’s Affinity Partners

    The firm “quickly raised $2 billion from the Saudi Public Investment Fund (PIF)”

  13. CNBC (reporting The Wall Street Journal)

    Aryam Investment bought “a 49% stake in World Liberty Financial for $500 million”; the UAE was allowed “hundreds of thousands of advanced artificial intelligence chips”, with “a fifth of the chips to go to Tahnoon’s own AI company, G42”

  14. The Block (reporting The Wall Street Journal)

    Tahnoon is “the UAE’s national security adviser and brother to UAE President Mohammed bin Zayed”; the deal was “signed by Eric Trump ... four days before the January 2025 inauguration”

  15. The National

    Sheikh Tahnoon met Trump at the White House on 18 March 2025

  16. Congressional Research Service

    On the federal conflict-of-interest law, 18 U.S.C. 208

    “Congress later amended it to exclude those officials by definition”, meaning the President and Vice President

Somebody Else’s War

  1. JD Vance on X

    “The reason we lost is the war.” (4 Nov 2026, 10:38 am ET)

  2. Anadolu Agency (relaying CNN)

    Thomas Massie

    “There is one contingency in which I won’t reintroduce the articles of impeachment: Hegseth resigns”; “Multiple GOP sources told CNN they expect the impeachment vote to pass.”

  3. ABC7 New York

    Adam Smith, presumptive chairman of the Armed Services Committee, plans to “probe the decision to go to war with Iran” and look at Hegseth’s leadership

A Crisis for Day One

  1. Wikipedia

    The shutdown ran “From December 22, 2018, until January 25, 2019”, a “35-day partial government shutdown”; the 116th Congress convened on 3 Jan 2019 (updated Mar 2026)

  2. CBS News

    The 2025 shutdown lasted 43 days, passing the previous record of 35 days

  3. Good Morning America

    Michael Cohen testified before the House Oversight and Reform Committee on 27 Feb 2019

  4. US Congress, H.R. 6500 as enrolled

    “Continuing Appropriations and Extensions Act, 2027”: funding runs to “December 11, 2026” (signed 2 Sep 2026)

  5. Ballotpedia

    Biden had 213 Article III judges confirmed through 1 November 2024

  6. The American Presidency Project

    “ICYMI

    President Biden Secures 235th Judicial Confirmation”; 235 less 213 is the twenty-two confirmed after the election

The Pardon in Advance

  1. Legal Information Institute, 18 U.S.C. 3282

    Charges must be brought “within five years next after such offense” (accessed 6 Nov 2026)

  2. US Department of Justice, Office of Legal Counsel

    “Under the fundamental rule that no one may be a judge in his own case, the President cannot pardon himself.”

  3. US Department of Justice

    Pardon warrant for Changpeng Zhao, “A FULL AND UNCONDITIONAL PARDON”, dated 21 October and announced 23 October

  4. CNBC

    Zhao was sentenced to four months in prison after pleading guilty to enabling money laundering at Binance by failing to run an effective anti-money laundering program

  5. Fortune

    MGX “puts in $2 billion” to Binance; “The chairman of the firm ... is Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed Al Nahyan”

  6. The Block

    “MGX will use WLFI’s newly announced USD1 stablecoin to settle its $2 billion investment in Binance”

  7. Stablecoin Insider (citing Bloomberg)

    USD1’s reserves sit in short-term Treasuries and money-market instruments

    “Reserve interest accrues to World Liberty Financial”

  8. House Judiciary Democrats, staff report

    “Pardons, Inc.: How Trump and His Clemency-for-Cash Racket Let White-Collar Criminals ... Walk Free”

  9. US Department of Justice

    Biden’s pardons of Anthony Fauci, Mark Milley, the January 6 committee and five family members; the warrants read “this 19th day of January”

  10. CBS News

    The pardons were announced on Biden’s last day, 20 January, minutes before the inauguration

  11. Trump’s Truth (archive of Truth Social)

    Trump on Biden’s pardons

    “VOID, VACANT, AND OF NO FURTHER FORCE OR EFFECT”, “because of the fact that they were done by Autopen”

  12. Fortune (Associated Press)

    On his first day back Trump pardoned, commuted the sentences of or moved to end the cases of all of the more than 1,500 people charged over January 6

  13. US Department of Justice, Mueller report, Volume II

    “repeated statements suggesting that a pardon was a possibility for Manafort”

The Door That Closes Itself

  1. CBS News

    The McGahn subpoena dispute began in April 2019; the Trump White House blocked him from complying; an “agreement in principle” came on 12 May 2021

  2. Roll Call

    Bannon and Navarro each served four months; the Justice Department moved to dismiss Bannon’s case, and “in December, the DOJ similarly declined to defend Navarro’s contempt of Congress conviction”

The Door He Can’t Lock

  1. Supreme Court of the United States

    Trump v. Mazars USA, LLP: the four-part test for congressional subpoenas of a president’s personal records

  2. CNBC

    Trump’s settlement with the House Oversight Committee: “Mazars agreed to ... produce responsive documents”

  3. House Oversight Democrats, report on the Mazars records (copy hosted by The New York Times)

    “at a minimum, $7.8 million in foreign payments from at least 20 countries”

  4. Supreme Court of the United States

    Trump v. Vance

    “no citizen, not even the President, is categorically above the common duty” to produce evidence for a state grand jury

  5. Axios

    The Supreme Court cleared the Manhattan district attorney to obtain Trump’s tax records from Mazars

One Final Question

  1. American Bazaar

    Trump on pardons in advance for aides: “I would if I needed to, sure.”

Interviews and clips quoted

  1. Pod Force One with Miranda Devine

    Donald Trump, President of the United States, on a Democratic Congress: “I guess I’ll become Mr. Veto”

  2. ABC7

    Robert Garcia, incoming chair of the House Oversight Committee

    “We’re going to take on the Trump crime family. The amount of grift and corruption is unprecedented in American politics”

  3. AFP News Agency

    Donald Trump at the White House, on JD Vance’s post

    “I think it’s largely true because it drove the gasoline up a little bit short term”; “if I had it to do again I’d have to do it again because long term it’s the only answer”

  4. CNN

    Donald Trump, asked “Are you considering replacing Secretary Hegseth?”

    “No, I think he’s doing a very good job.”

  5. Pod Force One with Miranda Devine

    Donald Trump on Biden’s pardons, and on doing the same for everyone who worked for him

    “He gave everybody a pardon”; “I would if I needed to, sure”; “I did it for J6”